Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000475 0.000530 0.000592 0.000665 0.000752 0.000850 0.000973
2025-01-12 0.000379 0.000451 0.000538 0.000652 0.000801 0.000993 0.001263
2025-01-19 0.000334 0.000416 0.000522 0.000672 0.000887 0.001191 0.001677
2025-01-26 0.000286 0.000368 0.000479 0.000645 0.000896 0.001283 0.001963
2025-02-02 0.000260 0.000345 0.000463 0.000649 0.000950 0.001447 0.002418
2025-02-09 0.000243 0.000330 0.000458 0.000667 0.001024 0.001664 0.003050
2025-02-16 0.000228 0.000317 0.000451 0.000680 0.001094 0.001889 0.003803
2025-02-23 0.000218 0.000310 0.000452 0.000705 0.001187 0.002186 0.004884
2025-03-02 0.000206 0.000297 0.000443 0.000711 0.001247 0.002432 0.005991
2025-03-09 0.000192 0.000281 0.000425 0.000699 0.001266 0.002591 0.006961
2025-03-16 0.000182 0.000270 0.000416 0.000701 0.001316 0.002843 0.008451
2025-03-23 0.000174 0.000262 0.000411 0.000709 0.001380 0.003156 0.010502
2025-03-30 0.000167 0.000254 0.000407 0.000721 0.001463 0.003575 0.013687
2025-04-06 0.000156 0.000241 0.000391 0.000707 0.001481 0.003817 0.016464
2025-04-13 0.000151 0.000237 0.000392 0.000730 0.001599 0.004457 0.023224
2025-04-20 0.000141 0.000222 0.000370 0.000699 0.001567 0.004543 0.026241
2025-04-27 0.000135 0.000215 0.000364 0.000704 0.001636 0.005069 0.035162
2025-05-04 0.000131 0.000212 0.000365 0.000723 0.001754 0.005894 0.052261
2025-05-11 0.000127 0.000208 0.000364 0.000739 0.001865 0.006789 0.078977
2025-05-18 0.000125 0.000207 0.000367 0.000766 0.002026 0.008116 0.136951
2025-05-25 0.000121 0.000202 0.000363 0.000773 0.002120 0.009185 0.220472
2025-06-01 0.000115 0.000194 0.000352 0.000759 0.002135 0.009779 0.311876
2025-06-08 0.000111 0.000189 0.000347 0.000762 0.002214 0.010936 0.544416